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The Federal Reserve's loan balance in the discount window in the week of December 11th was $2.61 billion, compared with $2.43 billion in the previous week. The balance of bank term financing loans in the week of December 11th was 15.6 billion US dollars, compared with 17.1 billion US dollars in the previous week.The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter exceeded the forecast. The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter were $4.04, compared with $3.58 in the same period of last year, and the forecast was $3.81. Same-store sales in the United States increased by 5.2%, and it is estimated to increase by 5.03%. The total revenue was $62.15 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it was estimated to be $61.98 billion. The net sales amounted to US$ 60.99 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it is estimated to be US$ 60.85 billion.The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter exceeded the forecast. The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter were $4.04, compared with $3.58 in the same period of last year, and the forecast was $3.81. Same-store sales in the United States increased by 5.2%, and it is estimated to increase by 5.03%. The total revenue was $62.15 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it was estimated to be $61.98 billion. The net sales amounted to US$ 60.99 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it is estimated to be US$ 60.85 billion.

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.

Google successfully attacked OpenAI：ChatGPT Vision was launched in the middle of the night. Yesterday, after Google enlarged its recruitment to release Gemini 2 and provided free services, OpenAI followed closely today (12-day conference Day6) and launched the long-awaited ChatGPT Vision function, bringing users a richer multi-modal interactive experience. In addition to the original advanced voice mode, you can now make video calls with ChatGPT, share the screen, and interact with Santa Claus in real time. The entire conference lasted for 11 minutes.Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)The production and transportation capacity is continuously released. The coal supply is guaranteed this winter and next spring. In winter, the heating energy can be greatly improved. As a stabilizer of China's energy supply, coal production, storage and transportation have attracted much attention. At the 2025 National Coal Fair held recently, more than 30 enterprises signed medium-and long-term contracts for coal. Most of the medium-and long-term contracts signed this time are independently connected by the supply and demand sides, and the transaction has a high degree of marketization, which is conducive to the performance of enterprises according to the actual contract volume, and has laid a "reassuring" for coal supply this winter and next spring. The reporter learned from the China Coal Industry Association that in the first 10 months of this year, the national raw coal output above designated size was 3.89 billion tons, up 1.2% year-on-year, and the output reached the highest level in the same period in history. In terms of imports, in the first three quarters, China imported 389 million tons of coal, up 11.9% year-on-year. At the same time, coal storage is also full of confidence. According to the data, at present, the coal storage capacity of power plants nationwide is more than 200 million tons, and the average available days are more than 30 days. (Economic Daily)